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Data report · 2026

Nebraska Water Damage Risk Index

Where in Nebraska is a house most likely to take on water? We combined Census housing age with ten years of daily weather for 93 of Nebraska's 93 counties to rank them.

Highest index
Dixon
Score 74 of 100
Most pipe-freeze nights
Sioux
88 nights ≤ 20°F a year
Oldest housing
Deuel
74% built before 1960
Most heavy-rain days
Cass
8.3 days ≥ 1 inch a year
< 4242–4848–5252–59≥ 59 index (0–100)

Key findings

  • The five highest-scoring counties are Dixon, Boyd, Richardson, Franklin, Cuming. Each combines old housing with harsher-than-average winters or frequent downpours.
  • Deuel County has the oldest housing in the state, with 74% of homes built before 1960, against a county median of 49%.
  • Sioux County averaged 88 nights a year at 20°F or colder, the most of any county in the data. The county median is 64.
  • Sarpy County has the newest housing, with 45% of homes built since 2000, which pulls its index down even where winters are cold.

Weather: NOAA nClimGrid-Daily county averages, 2015–2024. Housing: ACS 2020-2024.

All counties

Select a column header to sort.

Rank County Index Freeze nights Pre-1960 homes Heavy-rain days Muggy nights
1 Dixon 74 71 58% 5.5 28
2 Boyd 70 70 59% 5.4 25
3 Richardson 66 45 62% 6.9 55
4 Franklin 65 54 69% 5.7 36
5 Cuming 64 66 52% 5.7 32
6 Pawnee 64 48 58% 7.5 48
7 Burt 63 61 54% 5.6 37
8 Greeley 63 67 58% 5.2 22
9 Nance 63 63 60% 5 36
10 Webster 63 55 57% 6.3 36
11 Johnson 62 50 57% 7.2 46
12 Nemaha 62 47 57% 6.6 50
13 Nuckolls 62 51 63% 5.6 38
14 Hooker 60 76 56% 3.6 4
15 Jefferson 60 51 55% 6 50
16 Sheridan 60 80 62% 1.3 2
17 Antelope 59 70 50% 5.2 26
18 Garden 59 77 59% 2 3
19 Kimball 59 78 70% 1.2 0
20 Thayer 59 51 56% 6 43
21 Valley 59 68 49% 5.8 18
22 Boone 58 66 52% 5.2 28
23 Furnas 58 63 61% 4.4 26
24 Polk 58 60 50% 5.9 37
25 Logan 57 73 54% 3.7 8
26 Pierce 57 70 52% 4.4 27
27 Deuel 55 69 74% 1.7 6
28 Garfield 55 70 49% 5.2 14
29 McPherson 55 71 56% 3.1 6
30 Wayne 55 71 42% 5.3 28
31 Thomas 54 74 50% 4.3 8
32 Brown 53 74 51% 3.3 10
33 Cedar 53 70 46% 4.9 27
34 Saline 53 54 44% 6.4 42
35 Sioux 53 88 54% 1.1 1
36 Grant 52 80 50% 2.9 2
37 Hayes 52 62 62% 3 12
38 Howard 52 61 48% 5.5 28
39 Thurston 52 67 41% 5.5 31
40 Blaine 51 72 48% 4.1 10
41 Butler 51 59 43% 6.2 36
42 Clay 51 51 54% 5.4 37
43 Gage 51 50 49% 6.2 47
44 Holt 51 72 43% 4.6 17
45 Fillmore 50 52 51% 5.4 38
46 Keya Paha 50 74 43% 4.3 11
47 Knox 50 69 44% 4.6 27
48 Stanton 50 66 44% 5.1 32
49 Custer 49 68 52% 3.7 11
50 Dawes 49 76 53% 1 3
51 Morrill 49 74 53% 1.2 3
52 Sherman 49 64 49% 5.1 22
53 Dakota 48 69 32% 5.4 31
54 Dodge 48 58 41% 5.6 43
55 Frontier 48 65 53% 3.5 18
56 Harlan 48 56 45% 5.4 37
57 Hitchcock 48 60 59% 3 17
58 Otoe 48 51 40% 8.3 46
59 Perkins 48 63 62% 1.9 9
60 Merrick 47 59 43% 5.4 37
61 Seward 47 57 40% 6.1 36
62 Wheeler 47 70 36% 5.3 20
63 York 47 56 43% 5.8 36
64 Cheyenne 46 69 57% 1.2 2
65 Colfax 45 60 43% 5 38
66 Rock 45 74 41% 3.9 10
67 Saunders 45 52 34% 6.4 47
68 Washington 45 54 33% 6.4 47
69 Box Butte 44 82 44% 1.3 1
70 Red Willow 44 62 51% 3.3 24
71 Banner 43 70 52% 1.6 1
72 Cass 43 51 30% 8.3 47
73 Dundy 43 58 60% 1.8 12
74 Platte 43 64 34% 5.2 36
75 Adams 42 54 44% 5.3 33
76 Douglas 42 51 28% 7 50
77 Lancaster 42 52 24% 7.4 44
78 Cherry 40 76 38% 2.6 5
79 Hamilton 40 53 35% 5.6 38
80 Kearney 40 55 46% 5 28
81 Madison 40 67 32% 4.6 30
82 Sarpy 40 50 7% 7.5 50
83 Hall 38 56 31% 5.7 30
84 Loup 38 71 30% 4.3 11
85 Phelps 37 61 41% 4 28
86 Arthur 34 70 39% 2.6 5
87 Chase 34 62 47% 2.3 10
88 Dawson 33 66 38% 3.2 19
89 Gosper 33 64 36% 3.6 23
90 Lincoln 33 68 40% 2.9 10
91 Scotts Bluff 33 74 39% 1 2
92 Buffalo 29 59 24% 5 25
93 Keith 21 61 32% 1.8 10

Methodology

For each county with weather data, we convert four factors to a percentile rank among those counties (0 = lowest, 100 = highest), then take a weighted average:

  • Pipe-freeze nights (nights ≤ 20°F / yr), weight 30%
  • Homes built before 1960 (% of homes), weight 30%
  • Heavy-rain days (days ≥ 1 in / yr), weight 25%
  • Muggy nights (nights ≥ 65°F / yr), weight 15%

Freezing weather and old plumbing get the most weight because burst and failing supply lines are among the most common causes of household water damage. Heavy rain drives basement flooding and sewer backups, and warm, muggy nights mark the humid air that lets mold follow. The index is relative: a low score means lower risk than other Nebraska counties, not no risk.

Limits: weather values are county-wide averages, so hollows, ridges and lakeshores can differ; ACS housing figures are survey estimates; the index doesn't account for floodplains, soil, or local sewer systems. Full details on our data sources page.

Cite this data

You're welcome to use these figures with attribution. Suggested citation:

Local Water & Mold, "Nebraska Water Damage Risk Index 2026," https://localwatermold.com/nebraska/nebraska-water-damage-risk/. Data: U.S. Census Bureau ACS 2020-2024; NOAA nClimGrid-Daily 2015–2024.

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