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Data report · 2026

Alabama Water Damage Risk Index

Where in Alabama is a house most likely to take on water? We combined Census housing age with ten years of daily weather for 67 of Alabama's 67 counties to rank them.

Highest index
Colbert
Score 77 of 100
Most pipe-freeze nights
Colbert
7 nights ≤ 20°F a year
Oldest housing
Jefferson
28% built before 1960
Most heavy-rain days
Washington
19.6 days ≥ 1 inch a year
< 3838–4646–5353–61≥ 61 index (0–100)

Key findings

  • The five highest-scoring counties are Colbert, Marion, Lamar, Fayette, Jefferson. Each combines old housing with harsher-than-average winters or frequent downpours.
  • Jefferson County has the oldest housing in the state, with 28% of homes built before 1960, against a county median of 16%.
  • Colbert County averaged 7 nights a year at 20°F or colder, the most of any county in the data. The county median is 3.
  • Baldwin County has the newest housing, with 48% of homes built since 2000, which pulls its index down even where winters are cold.

Weather: NOAA nClimGrid-Daily county averages, 2015–2024. Housing: ACS 2020-2024.

All counties

Select a column header to sort.

Rank County Index Freeze nights Pre-1960 homes Heavy-rain days Muggy nights
1 Colbert 77 7 23% 16 89
2 Marion 73 6 17% 17.2 94
3 Lamar 71 4 22% 15.3 109
4 Fayette 70 4 20% 15.8 105
5 Jefferson 70 4 28% 14.9 106
6 Clay 69 4 21% 16.6 85
7 Franklin 67 7 15% 17.8 89
8 Etowah 66 4 28% 14.8 103
9 Jackson 66 6 16% 16.5 86
10 Talladega 65 3 21% 16.1 100
11 Walker 64 4 19% 15.2 102
12 Lauderdale 63 7 19% 14.8 84
13 Clarke 61 2 15% 18 131
14 Mobile 61 0 19% 17.6 151
15 DeKalb 60 6 16% 15.3 83
16 Chambers 59 3 28% 14.9 93
17 Geneva 59 1 21% 15.6 138
18 Washington 59 2 14% 19.6 133
19 Winston 58 6 11% 17.8 90
20 Covington 57 1 22% 15.3 130
21 Pickens 57 3 17% 15.2 118
22 Blount 56 4 13% 16.2 105
23 Conecuh 56 1 17% 16.9 130
24 Escambia 56 1 16% 17 138
25 Cullman 54 4 13% 16.2 103
26 Greene 54 3 17% 14.9 119
27 Choctaw 53 2 14% 16.7 129
28 Coosa 53 3 16% 16.1 99
29 Lawrence 53 6 11% 16.3 89
30 Butler 52 1 18% 15.7 122
31 Montgomery 52 2 20% 14.4 127
32 Dallas 51 2 23% 13.5 124
33 Madison 51 6 9% 15.9 95
34 Marshall 51 4 14% 15.3 101
35 Tallapoosa 51 3 16% 15.2 98
36 Calhoun 50 3 23% 13.4 99
37 Morgan 49 5 14% 14.9 100
38 Cleburne 47 4 18% 14 84
39 Monroe 46 1 12% 17.7 134
40 Perry 46 2 22% 12.9 115
41 Randolph 46 4 16% 14.6 86
42 Crenshaw 44 2 15% 15.1 119
43 Limestone 44 6 9% 14.9 94
44 St. Clair 44 4 6% 15.5 102
45 Sumter 44 2 16% 14.6 123
46 Bibb 43 3 15% 14.6 106
47 Cherokee 43 4 15% 14.2 94
48 Macon 42 2 16% 14.5 121
49 Russell 41 2 19% 13.3 114
50 Marengo 40 2 17% 12.7 122
51 Barbour 39 1 19% 13.8 125
52 Pike 39 2 16% 14.1 123
53 Elmore 38 2 8% 15.7 119
54 Henry 38 1 17% 12.7 136
55 Wilcox 38 2 15% 14 127
56 Baldwin 37 0 5% 16.9 154
57 Chilton 37 3 14% 14.6 101
58 Hale 37 3 14% 13.8 118
59 Lowndes 36 2 10% 14.9 129
60 Tuscaloosa 35 3 12% 14.2 112
61 Shelby 34 3 4% 15.1 101
62 Autauga 33 2 7% 15 120
63 Houston 31 1 14% 13.9 144
64 Dale 30 1 13% 14.3 135
65 Coffee 29 1 13% 14.4 130
66 Bullock 28 2 11% 14.1 121
67 Lee 26 2 7% 14.6 108

Methodology

For each county with weather data, we convert four factors to a percentile rank among those counties (0 = lowest, 100 = highest), then take a weighted average:

  • Pipe-freeze nights (nights ≤ 20°F / yr), weight 30%
  • Homes built before 1960 (% of homes), weight 30%
  • Heavy-rain days (days ≥ 1 in / yr), weight 25%
  • Muggy nights (nights ≥ 65°F / yr), weight 15%

Freezing weather and old plumbing get the most weight because burst and failing supply lines are among the most common causes of household water damage. Heavy rain drives basement flooding and sewer backups, and warm, muggy nights mark the humid air that lets mold follow. The index is relative: a low score means lower risk than other Alabama counties, not no risk.

Limits: weather values are county-wide averages, so hollows, ridges and lakeshores can differ; ACS housing figures are survey estimates; the index doesn't account for floodplains, soil, or local sewer systems. Full details on our data sources page.

Cite this data

You're welcome to use these figures with attribution. Suggested citation:

Local Water & Mold, "Alabama Water Damage Risk Index 2026," https://localwatermold.com/alabama/alabama-water-damage-risk/. Data: U.S. Census Bureau ACS 2020-2024; NOAA nClimGrid-Daily 2015–2024.

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